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categoryإحصاء
schoolبكالوريوس
event_available2026-07-13
السؤال
Transcribed Image Text:
14. Data for the progression of college students at a particular college are summarized in the
following matrix of transition probabilities:
Graduate Drop Out Freshman Sophomore Junior Senior
Graduate
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Drop Out
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Freshman
0.00
0.20
0.15
0.65
0.00
0.00
Sophomore
0.00
0.15
0.00
0.10
0.75
0.00
Junior
0.00
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.05
0.85
Senior
0.90
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.05
a. What states are absorbing states?
b. Interpret the transition probabilities for a sophomore.
c. Compute the probabilities that a sophomore will graduate and that a sophomore will
drop out.
d. In an address to the incoming class of 600 freshmen, the dean asks the students to look
around the auditorium and realize that about 50% of the freshmen present today will
not make it to graduation day. Does your Markov process analysis support the dean's
statement? Explain.
e. Currently, the college has 600 freshmen, 520 sophomores, 460 juniors, and 420 se-
niors. What percentage of the 2000 students attending the college will eventually
graduate?
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