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categoryإدارة مشاريع
schoolبكالوريوس
event_available2026-07-13
السؤال
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Project Scheduling: PERT/CPM
17. The Porsche Shop, founded in 1985 by Dale Jensen, specializes in the restoration of vin-
tage Porsche automobiles. One of Jensen's regular customers asked him to prepare an
estimate for the restoration of a 1964 model 356SC Porsche. To estimate the time and cost
to perform such a restoration, Jensen broke the restoration process into four separate ac-
tivities: disassembly and initial preparation work (A), body restoration (B), engine restora-
tion (C), and final assembly (D). Once activity A has been completed, activities B and C
can be performed independently of each other; however, activity D can be started only if
both activities B and C have been completed. Based on his inspection of the car, Jensen
believes that the following time estimates (in days) are applicable:
Activity
A
Optimistic
3
B
5
C
2
4
Most Probable
Pessimistic
4
8
8
4
5
11
6
12
Jensen estimates that the parts needed to restore the body will cost $3000 and that the parts
needed to restore the engine will cost $5000. His current labor costs are $400 a day.
a. Develop a project network.
b. What is the expected project completion time?
c. Jensen's business philosophy is based on making decisions using a best- and worst-
case scenario. Develop cost estimates for completing the restoration based on both a
best- and worst-case analysis. Assume that the total restoration cost is the sum of the
labor cost plus the material cost.
d. If Jensen obtains the job with a bid that is based on the costs associated with an ex-
pected completion time, what is the probability that he will lose money on the job?
e. If Jensen obtains the job based on a bid of $16,800, what is the probability that he will
lose money on the job?
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