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categoryالرياضيات
schoolبكالوريوس
event_available2026-07-15
السؤال
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Problem 4. The equilibrium points are I* =
Problem 5.
I
and I* =
The equilibrium point I* =
is stable when
and
unstable when
The equilibrium point I* =
is stable when
and
unstable when
Problem 6. The disease is endemic when
Disease Spread With Recovery
Consider the far more likely scenario in which a disease is circulating in a population, in such
a way that individuals recover from the disease unharmed but are susceptible to reinfection.
Again, let I, denote the fraction of infected individuals in the population at time t. A
discrete-time dynamical system which models this scenario is given by
I+=+ble(1-1)-kl₁
where the positive parameter b represents the per capita rate at which susceptible member of
the population is infected, and the positive parameter k represents the rate at which infected
individuals recover. Note that both b> 0 and k > 0.
4. Again let b = 0.5, and find the equilibrium points for this new system algebraically
(your answers will depend on the parameter k).
5. Use the slope criterion to test the stability of the equilibrium points you found in
Problem 4. For what values of k are each of the equilibria stable? unstable?
According to the Centre for Disease Control, "endemic refers to the constant presence and/or
usual prevalence of a disease or infectious agent in a population within a geographic area"
in other words, a disease is considered endemic if the dynamical system describing it has a
positive equilibrium that is stable. Consider the original system with recovery, i.e.
=
I+1 1+bl(1-1)-kl₁
where b> 0 and k > 0. The equilibria of this system are
I=0
k
I=1-
b
so that the system will only have a positive equilibrium if 1->0, which we can rewrite
as b>k, or b - k > 0.
6. Using the slope criterion, find a condition on b-k so that the positive equilibrium
I=1- is stable, meaning that the disease being modelled is endemic.
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