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categoryالرياضيات
schoolبكالوريوس
event_available2026-07-14
السؤال
Transcribed Image Text:
Example 4.3 On any given day Gary is either cheerful (C), so-so (S), or glum (G). If
he is cheerful today, then he will be C, S, or G tomorrow with respective probabilities
0.5, 0.4, 0.1. If he is feeling so-so today, then he will be C, S, or G tomorrow with
probabilities 0.3, 0.4, 0.3. If he is glum today, then he will be C, S, or G tomorrow
with probabilities 0.2, 0.3, 0.5.
Letting X, denote Gary's mood on the nth day, then {Xn, n > 0} is a three-state
Markov chain (state 0 = C, state 1 = S, state 2 = G) with transition probability matrix
0.5 0.4 0.1
P = 0.3 0.4 0.3
0.2 0.3 0.5
10. In Example 4.3, Gary is currently in a cheerful mood. What is the probability that
he is not in a glum mood on any of the following three days?
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